Billy-Ball Daily: 2008-7-1

7/1/2008
Billy-Ball Daily
Bill Chuck (Billy-Ball his own self)

Billy-Ball – From the diamond to your desktop…
By Baseball Newstalgist, Bill Chuck

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The only spin here is on my screwball

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Top of the 1st
FIRST OBSERVATIONS
As we will do on the first day of every month during the season is take a quick look at the big picture as reflected in the standings.

Here is a tool that might make this a more interesting perusal for those of you who are interested:
The pythagorean winning percentage
Pythagorean winning percentage is an estimate of a team’s winning percentage given their runs scored and runs allowed. Developed by Bill James, it can tell you when teams were a bit lucky or unlucky. It is calculated in this fashion:
(Runs Scored)^1.83
———————————————————
(Runs Scored)^1.83 + (Runs Allowed)^1.83

The traditional formula uses an exponent of two, but this has proven to be a little more accurate.

The AL team with the most luck, in terms of wins (+7), is the Angels. The AL team with the worst luck, in terms of wins (-5), is the Indians.

The NL team with the most luck, in terms of wins (+4), is the Marlins. The NL team with the worst luck, in terms of wins (-6), is the Braves. As a frame of reference, the Mets and the Diamondbacks are at 0, meaning their Runs Scored and Runs Allowed correctly reflects their record.

Here are at least 20 facts about each division:

AL EAST W L PCT GB H R RS RA
Tampa Bay 50 32 .610 – 31-13 19-19 387 331
Boston 50 35 .588 1.5 31-10 19-25 428 356
NY Yankees 44 39 .530 6.5 22-19 22-20 386 366
Baltimore 41 40 .506 8.5 22-13 19-27 366 370
Toronto 41 43 .488 10 22-19 19-24 346 316

* Tampa Bay has the best record in the majors; last year at this time they were 33-47.
* The Rays lead the league with 88 stolen bases.
* The Rays are 35-23 against right-handed starters.
* The Rays are 22-15 against the East.
* Boston leads the league with a .280 batting average.
* Hitters are only batting .213 against Tampa relievers.
* The Red Sox lead the league with 320 walks by their batters.
* Boston is the AL Wild Card leader.
* The Red Sox are now 3-12 indoors in 2008
* The BoSox have 20 come from behind wins.
* The Jays are 6-4 in this new Cito Gaston era.
* Toronto has not had a walkoff win this season.
* The Jays are 34-11 when scoring first.
* The Yankees are a major eague-best 25-12 since 5/21.
* The BoSox are 13-3 against lefties.
* Toronto pitchers have 8 complete games, the most in the league.
* Boston and Toronto pitchers each a league leading 624 strikeouts.
* The Yankees have won 10 games this season when scoring three runs or fewer (10-23 overall) and were 6-36 in such games in 2007 and 10-37 in 2006.
* The Red Sox are 2-11 on turf.
* The O’s have reached the 40 win mark in June for just the second time in the last 10 seasons. The 2005 Birds won their 40th game on June 18 of that year.
* The Yankees were 38-41 on July 1, 2007.
* The Yankees lead the majors averaging 52,214 fans a game.
* The Yankees have 20 come-from-behind wins.
* The Sox are 7-4 in series sweeps.
* The Orioles’ have dropped 12 straight Sunday games (six by one run, three by
* four runs, two by five runs and one by six runs). The Birds have been outscored 67-34 on Sundays this year.
* Baltimore is 17-13 in one run games.
* The Orioles were 11-7 in interleague play.
* With the bases loaded, batters are only hitting .195 against the Orioles staff.
* The Jays and the Mariners were 10-16 in June.

AL CENTRAL
Chicago Sox 47 35 .573 – 28-11 19-24 402 315
Minnesota 45 38 .542 2.5 27-18 18-20 398 390
Detroit 42 40 .512 5 25-17 17-23 398 393
Kansas City 38 45 .458 9.5 19-21 19-24 341 387
Cleveland 37 46 .446 10.5 22-22 15-24 368 359

* The AL Central was 58-32 in interleague play.
* The White Sox lead the AL with 112 homers.
* The White Sox are 18-12 in day games.
* From the 7th inning on, ChiSox pitchers have a 2.60 ERA.
* From the 7th inning on, Tigers pitchers have a 5.06 ERA.
* The Indians are only hitting .248 as a team.
* Cleveland pitchers have thrown four complete game shutouts.
* Hitters are batting .279 against Cleveland relievers.
* Minnesota leads the league with 24 triples.
* Minnesota pitchers have only allowed 200 walks, the fewest in the league. They are allowing only 2.4 walks per game.
* With the bases loaded, batters are hitting .363 against the Twins staff.
* Minnesota pitchers are allowing 10.0 hits per game, the most in the league.
* The Twins and Rangers pitchers have each surrendered 822 hits, the most in the AL.
* Detroit leads the majors with 25 come from behind wins.
* The Tigers were 19-8 in June.
* The Royals were 13-5 in interleague play.
* KC is 5-11 against the West.
* The Indians have 38 errors, the fewest in baseball.
* The Indians were a league-worst 6-12 interleague play.
* Indian batters were hit by 22 pitches in June, the most in the AL
* The Twins are hitting .280 with Runners in Scoring Position and two outs, the best in the AL.
* The White Sox are hitting .205 with Runners in Scoring Position and two outs, the worst in the AL.
* The Royals have won six straight on the road, the team’s longest run since 1999.

AL WEST
LA Angels 49 34 .590 – 22-19 27-15 341 334
Oakland 45 37 .549 3.5 27-21 18-16 363 299
Texas 43 41 .512 6.5 21-18 22-23 458 468
Seattle 31 51 .378 17.5 15-25 16-26 331 392

* The Angels are 16-9 against the Central.
* The Angels and Oakland were each 16-10 in June.
* Oakland’s 3.39 ERA is the best in the AL.
* Batters are only .235 against the A’s staff.
* Texas leads the league scoring 5.45 runs per game. They are last in the league allowing 5.57 runs per game.
* Texas leads the league with 187 doubles.
* Texas leads the league with 615 strikeouts by their batters.
* Texas pitchers have allowed 343 walks, the most in the league.
* Texas has committed 74 errors the most in baseball.
* Texas has had exactly a .500 record 22 times this season and are 2 games over .500 for the first time since following a victory on Sept. 22, 2006 vs. Cleveland (78-76).
* The Angels have 16 wins this season when scoring three runs-or-less (leads MLB).
* The Angels are 33-16 in games decided by two runs-or-less, best record and most such games played in majors.
* The Angels have 15 comeback victories and five walkoff wins.
* LAA pitchers have held opponents to two earned runs-or-less in 22 of last 26 wins.
* The Angels’ 204 road wins since start of 2004 are the most in baseball.
* The Halos are 35-4 when they score first (most wins in the majors).
* Texas is 10-0 when hitting 3 or more HRs this season.
* Led by K-Rod the Angels relievers have 34 saves, the most in the league.
* Oakland runners have only been caught stealing12 times.
* Oakland pitchers are only allowing 7.9 hits per game.
* Seattle is 4-10 against the Central.
* The Mariners were 9-9 in interleague play.
* The Mariners longest winning streak this season is three, achieved twice.

NL EAST
Philadelphia 44 39 .530 – 22-18 22-21 420 348
Florida 43 39 .524 .5 25-19 18-20 391 408
NY Mets 40 42 .488 3.5 22-18 18-24 379 386
Atlanta 40 43 .482 4 28-14 12-29 374 334
Washington 33 51 .393 11.5 18-26 15-25 305 420

* The Phils were 4-11 in interleague play.
* The Phillies stole 28 bases in June, the most in the NL.
* The Phillies have 66 stolen bases and have only been caught 8 times.
* The Mets are 15-15 against the East.
* Atlanta’s 3.69 is the best ERA in the NL.
* Batters are only .246 against the Braves staff.
* The Braves are 4-21 in one run games.
* The Braves are 1-7 in extra innings.
* The Phillies have lost 6 straight series.
* The Marlins are 9-1 vs. the Nationals this season.
* The Braves are 5-5 in series sweeps this season.
* Washington is 13-21 against lefties.
* Washington leads the majors with 8 walkoff wins.
* The Marlins’ 68 errors lead the NL.
* No team in the NL has more than 3 complete games and four have none.
* Washington was 9-18 in June.
* Atlanta has made 12 1st inning errors.
* The day after being shut out this year the Phils are 3 -2.
* The Marlins are averaging 14,896 fans a game, the worst in baseball.
* The Atlanta Braves went 8-7 and the Marlins went 5-10 in interleague play.
* Against the NL this season, the Phillies are 40-28 (.588).
* The New York Mets surpassed 3.5 million tickets sold for their final season at Shea Stadium, marking the fastest time in franchise history that the Mets have exceeded that milestone.
* The largest deficit the Mets have overcome this season is two runs, which they have done six times.
* The Mets only have one grand slam this season (Carlos Delgado).

NL CENTRAL
Chicago Cubs 50 33 .602 – 33-10 17-23 452 351
St. Louis 48 36 .571 2.5 24-17 24-19 395 361
Milwaukee 44 38 .537 5.5 25-13 19-25 367 372
Houston 40 43 .482 10 22-18 18-25 364 396
Cincinnati 39 45 .464 11.5 22-17 17-28 357 414
Pittsburgh 38 44 .463 11.5 25-19 13-25 397 450

* The Cubs are 25-14 in day games.
* The Cubs are 19-5 against the West.
* Chicago is 19-9 against lefties.
* The Brewers were 16-10 in June.
* The Cubs and Cardinals were 15-12 in June. With the Brewers, these were the only three teams above .500 in June.
* The Brewers lamed 44 homers in June.
* St. Louis is the NL Wild Card leader.
* The Cards are 17-14 in one run games.
* The Brewers are 17-7 in one run games.
* The Pirates have a 29-29 record in their last 58 games (beginning on April 27)
* Houston is 14-18 in their division.
* Houston, St. Louis, and San Diego have the fewest errors in the NL with 43.
* Reds pitchers lead the NL with 646 strikeouts.
* Pittsburgh pitchers have the fewest Ks with 475.
* The Pirates are 8-3 in extra innings.
* The Reds went 5-4 on their last roadtrip, posting a winning record on a road trip for the first time this season and for only the second time in the last 22 road trips dating back to 2006.
* The Reds went 9-6 in interleague play.
* The Pirates posted a record of 12-15 in the month of June
* Pittsburgh’s 5.10 ERA is the worst in the NL.
* Batters are hitting .288 against the Bucs pitchers.
* Pirates pitchers have given up 847 hits in 745 innings.
* The Pirates are hitting .287 with Runners in Scoring Position and two outs, the best in the majors.

NL WEST
Arizona 42 41 .506 – 25-15 17-26 372 362
LA Dodgers 38 44 .463 3.5 22-20 16-24 332 332
San Francisco 36 47 .434 6 14-25 22-22 337 381
San Diego 33 51 .393 9.5 21-26 12-25 317 398
Colorado 32 51 .386 10 20-20 12-31 349 432

* The NL West went 27-54 with no team having a winning record in interleague play.
* Arizona is 20-8 in their division.
* After starting the season 20-8, the Diamondbacks are 22-33 but have only lost 1