JACKIE BRADLEY JR. IS A WAY WORSE HITTER THAN YOU THINK

Alex Speier of the Boston Globe, in a recent article about Jackie Bradley, Jr. of the Red Sox wrote:

Manager John Farrell has noted on multiple occasions that Bradley has shown streakiness since his emergence as an everyday player in late-2015 – a notion meant to underscore the team’s confidence that he’ll eventually emerge from his struggles.

Farrell, who certainly knows more about baseball and managerial spin than I do, thinks of “streakiness” apparently differently than I do because I think of Bradley as a poor hitter, who occasionally goes on a hot stretch.

First some history…

2016 – Entered the season as a career .213 hitter

  • Bradley played 156 MLB games in 2016.
  • He had hits in 105 games.
  • In the 16 games to open the 2016 season, JBJ hit .222.
  • Then, last season, around this time, Bradley was on a blistering streak in which he hit in 29 straight games at a .415 clip and was hitting .350 on the season.
  • It was on the basis of this streak he was selected to the All-Star team (reminder: DON’T VOTE FOR THE ALL-STAR TEAM UNTIL MID-JUNE).
  • By the All-Star Game, he was down to .296, having hit .234 in the 38 games that followed his hitting streak.
  • In the 73 games following the All-Star break, Bradley hit .233 to finish the season at .267.

2015 – Entered the season as a career .196 hitter

  • Bradley played 74 MLB games in 2015.
  • He had hits in 33 games.
  • May 10 to August 9 – 24 games – Bradley hit .121 with one homer and had an OPS of .426 with 18 whiffs.
  • August 9 to September 7 – 25 games – Then Bradley came alive. In 25 amazing games, JBJ hit .446 with seven homers and an OPS of 1.441 with 24 whiffs.
  • September 8 to the end of the season – 25 games – But then, once again Jackie hit a major league wall and not major league pitching, hitting .138 with two homers and an OPS of .510 with 27 whiffs.

2014 – Entered the season as a career .189 hitter

  • Bradley played 127 MLB games in 2014.
  • He had hits in 56 games.
  • Here’s how he did each month of the season:
Thank goodness for July
Split G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
April/March 25 23 90 78 11 19 8 1 0 12 11 25 .244 .344 .372 .716
May 26 26 94 86 11 15 4 0 1 8 6 29 .174 .234 .256 .490
June 25 24 87 77 10 16 2 1 0 4 7 23 .208 .291 .260 .550
July 22 20 77 72 10 20 5 0 0 4 5 19 .278 .325 .347 .672
August 14 9 39 35 3 5 0 0 0 2 2 15 .143 .205 .143 .348
Sept/Oct 15 9 36 36 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 .028 .028 .028 .056
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2017.

2013 – First time in the majors

  • Bradley played 37 MLB games in 2013.
  • He had hits in 14 games.
  • He hit .189

And now, today…

2017 – Entered the season as a career .237 hitter

  • Bradley has played 22 MLB games in 2017.
  • He has hits in 10 games.
  • He’s hitting .182.

Career stats you should know:

He doesn’t do a whole lot to help his team win

Game Outcome for Team
Split G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
in Wins 228 202 833 730 160 206 49 13 35 140 14 0 83 194 .282 .362 .529 .891 386
in Losses 188 177 672 605 46 106 23 1 7 37 9 2 54 192 .175 .250 .251 .502 152
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2017.
Bases Occupied
Split PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP SH
RISP 390 330 160 78 27 6 11 126 44 106 .236 .322 .455 .777 150 14 2
Men On 679 596 185 142 42 9 21 156 62 182 .238 .313 .445 .758 265 30 2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2017.
Clutch Stats
Split G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2 outs, RISP 144 170 147 76 30 8 3 8 51 10 1 21 53 .204 .312 .463 .774 68
Tie Game 201 315 275 37 61 12 4 9 37 7 1 30 87 .222 .305 .393 .697 108
Margin > 4 R 117 221 197 37 52 21 4 6 43 1 0 18 50 .264 .335 .503 .837 99
Ahead 244 644 580 118 158 43 10 23 99 7 0 53 151 .272 .337 .500 .837 290
Behind 228 546 480 51 93 17 0 10 41 9 1 54 148 .194 .286 .292 .578 140
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2017.
By Inning
Split G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
Ext inning 22 30 24 3 5 1 0 0 4 5 5 .208 .345 .250 .595 6
Innings 1-3 379 438 396 64 103 26 5 15 60 32 114 .260 .320 .465 .784 184
Innings 4-6 381 544 474 77 112 25 4 17 66 57 122 .236 .329 .414 .743 196
Innings 7-9 374 493 441 62 92 20 5 10 47 43 145 .209 .285 .345 .629 152
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2017.

• From 2013 to 2017, there have been 215 batters who have had a minimum 750 PA while playing away from home. Danny Espinosa hitting .198 has the lowest on the road BA followed by Jackie Bradley Jr. at .207.

At Home
I Split G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
BOS-Fenway Pk 197 187 725 645 107 169 42 8 20 98 6 1 66 172 .262 .339 .445 .784 287
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2017.

Many teams today sacrifice average for power

But the David Ortiz-less Red Sox seem powerless

Team Standard Batting Table
Tm R/G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR
RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
NYY 5.74 1418 1241 201 335 53 5 56 187 152 320 .270 .353 .456 .809
HOU 5.03 1500 1330 196 363 64 2 53 187 128 276 .273 .343 .444 .786
TEX 4.62 1442 1282 180 291 51 5 53 169 130 335 .227 .305 .399 .704
OAK 3.82 1403 1255 145 294 63 3 52 138 126 324 .234 .305 .414 .719
TBR 4.56 1594 1398 187 343 60 10 51 179 165 425 .245 .328 .412 .740
BAL 4.50 1386 1261 162 320 59 2 48 151 102 315 .254 .314 .418 .732
LgAvg 4.41 1428 1272 166 313 59 5 44 158 129 307 .246 .320 .404 .724
TOR 4.03 1472 1327 157 314 62 3 44 148 118 319 .237 .301 .387 .689
SEA 4.82 1528 1341 188 345 74 4 42 180 150 310 .257 .338 .412 .750
LAA 3.80 1541 1387 156 327 56 3 42 153 122 314 .236 .305 .371 .676
MIN 4.56 1289 1135 155 274 55 5 40 150 139 278 .241 .327 .404 .731
DET 4.72 1350 1199 170 289 60 9 40 164 135 309 .241 .321 .406 .728
CLE 4.32 1401 1228 160 297 64 6 40 151 143 276 .242 .325 .401 .726
KCR 3.22 1359 1228 119 277 48 3 36 108 98 287 .226 .289 .357 .646
CHW 4.14 1337 1205 149 285 46 7 34 143 97 286 .237 .302 .371 .673
BOS 4.46 1406 1257 165 340 75 4 31 155 131 238 .270 .342 .411 .753
4.41 21426 19074 2490 4694 890 71 662 2363 1936 4612 .246 .320 .404 .724
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2017.

The entire Red Sox infield has hit seven homers.

Boston needs three outfielders who can hit, which means one probably shouldn’t be JBJ.